The financial meltdown is reminiscent of Hayek's
1930s theory of the cycle in which it was the malinvestments (bad
investments) on part of the banks, induced by excessively cheap money
(market rate of interest below the natural rate of interest) which
eventually become unsustainable. At that stage, the interest rate gap
reverses and the market rate exceeds the natural rate. Whatever rate
the central banks may be willing to lend at, the commercial banks have
put up their interest rates in a classic Hayekian fashion. Hence the
slowdown. The cure is to allow more banks to fail than has been the
case so far. This is perhaps a painful but effective way of getting rid
of malinvestments or, as they are now called, toxic assets.
That isn't me, but it could well have been. Excellent analysis from Meghnad Desail, on Comment is Free.
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